BDonald Trump just said America is “highly unlikely” to go back to war with Iran.
BNot once—he said it five times in a CNN interview.
BWhich is either de-escalation or a man who likes a phrase.
BCNN and Al Jazeera both have it on X. The condition is progress on the nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz.
BSo if talks move, no new strikes? That’s the public line.
BFor a president who already hit Iran, that’s a real shift.
BIs it? He didn’t say he won’t. He said “highly unlikely” if talks progress.
BCome on, Bella. Repeating it five times is a signal to Tehran and to markets.
BIt’s also a signal to his base that he’s not walking away.
BHow is saying strikes are unlikely keeping the threat alive?
BHe’s saying if you stall, maybe not. That’s leverage.
BNo, no—he’s giving diplomacy room. Everyone expected escalation.
BHe lowered the temperature with an adverb? “Highly unlikely” is not a treaty. It’s a weather forecast.
BA president who hates looking weak says he probably won’t bomb. That’s a big deal.
BI’ll give you this: it’s different from maximum pressure. But it means nothing until Iran responds.
BThen we agree it’s a shift—you just won’t admit it.
BI’ll wait for the next interview, where he says it six times.
BDifferent corner of the Middle East—Al Jazeera reports on X that Egypt reopened its embassy in Tripoli after twelve years.
BTwelve years? Why now?
BThey say it signals a shift away from backing Khalifa Haftar, the eastern commander Cairo has long been tied to, according to the report.
BThat’s Al Jazeera’s claim. I haven’t seen independent confirmation yet.
BFair. But if true, it’s a real diplomatic move. Egypt is picking a side in Libya again.
BOr it’s hedging. Haftar still controls the east. Egypt can open an embassy and still keep lines to him.
BThat’s exactly what a shift looks like—open in Tripoli while saying you haven’t abandoned the east.
BIt’s not a shift until it changes policy. An embassy is a building.
BDiplomacy is a lot of buildings. Embassies are how you talk.
BThey couldn’t talk through back channels? They’ve been doing that for years.
BYou want a press release? The embassy is the press release.
BI want Cairo to admit it’s changing sides. That I haven’t seen.
BThat’s fair. We’ll watch.
BNow Europe—one account on X says security agencies expect more hybrid attacks next week as Dublin prepares to host world leaders.
BHybrid attacks—bomb hoaxes, disrupted flights. They suspect Russian involvement.
BThat’s the claim. No official word yet. But the pattern across Europe has been nasty.
BIf leaders are flying in, every hoax ties up airspace and cops.
BAnd it’s cheap. One call can close a runway. No soldiers, no missiles.
BThis is the war under the war. It doesn’t make headlines until a summit gets hit.
BDo you think Russia’s behind it? The account says agencies suspect.
BI think it fits their playbook. They don’t need to claim it; they just need chaos.
BMy take—Dublin will lock down hard. We’ll see unreal security.
BA bomb hoax at a summit is still a bomb hoax. It works until it doesn’t.
BThe bigger worry is if one slips through. That’s what the “expected” part is about.
BIf the summit goes ahead without incident, nobody remembers.
BIf it doesn’t, it’s the only story for a week.