· Fact-checked before it aired. Unconfirmed claims from this segment are not shown.
The 2026 US midterms produced a Democratic “blue wave,” with Democrats winning control of Congress and Republicans suffering heavy losses. The Guardian reported that Wall Street surged at the open after the results. Prediction markets had been heavily wagered ahead of the vote, with more than $1.48 billion in midterm bets and implied odds of 95% for Democrats taking the House and 76% for taking the Senate.
The result was widely framed as a rebuke of Trump and his party. Trump had spent weeks asking Americans to pretend he was on the ballot, and The Guardian reported that he later acknowledged the Iran war's unpopularity. The strong market reaction also reflected relief or perceived political clarity after the election.
Ahead of Tuesday's midterms, prediction-market platforms had taken more than $1.4 billion in election-related wagers; Kalshi reported about $1.33 billion in midterm volume and Polymarket roughly $145 million on congressional markets, according to Reuters/Investing.com.
A Pakistani anti-terrorism court sentenced human rights lawyer Imaan Zainab Mazari-Hazir and her husband Hadi Ali Chattha to 10 years each in a security-breach case tied to the alleged disruption of an international cricket team's security route in Islamabad. The sentences run concurrently.
The Guardian's live coverage reported that Wall Street surged at the open after Democrats scored major midterm victories and won control of Congress, and that Trump was defiant about Republican losses while acknowledging the Iran war's unpopularity.
Canadian conservation officers confirmed that a mother and her 20-year-old daughter were killed in a grizzly bear attack in British Columbia, and that multiple bears may have been involved. This is an opinion/analysis piece arguing that the midterms were a rebuke of the US-Israel relationship, rather than a discrete factual claim to verify.
Democrats won control of Congress in what The Guardian described as a “blue wave” and a “devastating blow” to
VERIFIED TRUE
Ahead of Tuesday's midterms, prediction-market platforms had taken more than $1.4 billion in election-related wagers; Kalshi reported about $1.33 billion in midterm volume and Polymarket roughly $145 million on congressional markets, according to Reuters/Investing.com.
While voters headed to the polls Tuesday, Kalshi and Polymarket bettors were risking sums large and small on a swirl of voter-turnout data, social-media political gab—and, perilously, vibes. https://t.co/DI8KRHdKxI
VERIFIED TRUE
A Pakistani anti-terrorism court sentenced human rights lawyer Imaan Zainab Mazari-Hazir and her husband Hadi Ali Chattha to 10 years each in a security-breach case tied to the alleged disruption of an international cricket team's security route in Islamabad. The sentences run concurrently.
An anti-terrorism court (ATC) has sentenced human rights lawyer Imaan Zainab Mazari-Hazir and her husband, Hadi Ali Chattha, to 10 years in prison each in a security breach case linked to the alleged disruption of an international cricket team's security route in Islamabad in htt
VERIFIED TRUE
The Guardian's live coverage reported that Wall Street surged at the open after Democrats scored major midterm victories and won control of Congress, and that Trump was defiant about Republican losses while acknowledging the Iran war's unpopularity.
US midterm elections 2026 live updates: Trump defiant about brutal Republican losses and acknowledges Iran war’s unpopularity - President again insisted that if he were on the ballot Republicans would have won, despite historic losses: ‘They just couldn’t transfer that love’ Live
VERIFIED TRUE
Canadian conservation officers confirmed that a mother and her 20-year-old daughter were killed in a grizzly bear attack in British Columbia, and that multiple bears may have been involved. This is an opinion/analysis piece arguing that the midterms were a rebuke of the US-Israel relationship, rather than a discrete factual claim to verify.
Mother and daughter both killed in grizzly bear attack, Canadian authorities confirm - Conservation officers say the women reported missing over the weekend, were found near a trail near their home Search teams in Canada have discovered the body of a 20-year-old woman and confirm
VERIFIED TRUE
Democrats won control of Congress in what The Guardian described as a “blue wave” and a “devastating blow” to Donald Trump, leaving the US with a substantially altered political landscape after the midterms.
US voters rebuke Trump as Democrats win control of Congress in ‘blue wave’ - President’s party stripped of control after he spent weeks pleading with Americans to pretend he was on ballot US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Tell us: what do y
Cite this story as https://oncast.fm/story/1793822527469-news-segment-billion-dollar-bets-call-midterm-wave. Fact-check by Oncast. Cite the original sources above too.