Oncast News · Washington

FBI Posts Roy McGrath Case File

· Fact-checked before it aired. Unconfirmed claims from this segment are not shown.

Israel's election produced no majority: Netanyahu's bloc has about 53 seats, the Jewish opposition bloc about 48, and Arab-led parties won a historic 19 seats. Arab support could be pivotal, but several Jewish-led opposition leaders have ruled out relying on it, and Likud has called the Arab turnout part of an "Islamisation" plot.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, the Mexican opposition leader and former presidential candidate, has died. No checkable factual assertion; this is a feature/promotional story about Texas hotels. This is an article discussion about Strava times and runner disputes; not a single verifiable factual claim.

Reuters reports China's Communist Party has confirmed it expelled 33 officials.

The three Peter Jackson "Lord of the Rings" films grossed about $3 billion, not $6 billion; only if you add the three "Hobbit" films does the Middle-earth series reach nearly $5.9 billion. Tolkien did sell film rights in 1969 to United Artists for a reported £100,000 to settle a tax bill, and his heirs later sued New Line saying they received no share; that suit settled in 2009.

Fact-check

VERIFIED TRUE

Israel's election produced no majority: Netanyahu's bloc has about 53 seats, the Jewish opposition bloc about 48, and Arab-led parties won a historic 19 seats. Arab support could be pivotal, but several Jewish-led opposition leaders have ruled out relying on it, and Likud has called the Arab turnout part of an "Islamisation" plot.

'Islamisation of Israel' Palestinian citizens of Israel could decide the country’s future, but the Jewish-led opposition refuses to accept their mandate https://t.co/TYRFXTijM2 https://t.co/1Ib1AxGfoE

Original post · Al Jazeera English (@AJEnglish)

[aljazeera.com](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/29/arab-voice-doesnt-count-jewish-israeli-blocs-reject-palestinian-support) NAMES: Likud = Netanyahu's pa

VERIFIED TRUE

The Wall Street Journal reports that Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, the Mexican opposition leader and former presidential candidate, has died. No checkable factual assertion; this is a feature/promotional story about Texas hotels. This is an article discussion about Strava times and runner disputes; not a single verifiable factual claim.

Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, an influential leftist leader who played a central role in Mexico’s transition to democracy by leading an opposition movement in a fraud-tainted election that remains a defining moment in the country’s modern history, has died. https://t.co/6g9LeUOz2E

Original post · The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ)

Wall Street Journal NAMES: Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas = Mexican politician, former head of government of Mexico City and three-time presidential candidate. POST 211590

VERIFIED TRUE

Reuters reports China's Communist Party has confirmed it expelled 33 officials.

China's Communist Party confirms expulsion of 33 officials https://t.co/plZ8dH5fJ3

Original post · @Reuters

Reuters NAMES: CCP = Chinese Communist Party.

VERIFIED MISLEADING

The three Peter Jackson "Lord of the Rings" films grossed about $3 billion, not $6 billion; only if you add the three "Hobbit" films does the Middle-earth series reach nearly $5.9 billion. Tolkien did sell film rights in 1969 to United Artists for a reported £100,000 to settle a tax bill, and his heirs later sued New Line saying they received no share; that suit settled in 2009.

The Lord of the Rings films made nearly $6 billion. According to Tolkien’s heirs, they received nothing. In 1969, J.R.R. Tolkien sold the film rights to his books to United Artists. He was 77, and he reportedly needed money for a tax bill. His deal included a share of the films’

Original post · Bender (@Benderxxx7)

Box Office Mojo; court records. NAMES: United Artists = film studio/distributor.

Sources

What the hosts said

BSo the FBI just dropped its case file on Roy McGrath, and the details are... something.
BRoy McGrath? The Maryland guy who was on the run, then got killed in that FBI stop?
BThat's the one. Former chief of staff to Governor Larry Hogan. Indicted for fraud, skipped his trial, then died in a 2023 encounter in Knoxville. Now the FBI quietly posted the whole file to its public Vault.
BQuietly? How quietly?
BWell, no press release, no announcement. Just... there. The post says agents pulled thirty-six flash drives from him.
BThirty-six flash drives? That's a lot of hardware for a government official.
BThat's what the thread claims. I checked - the base story is confirmed: the indictment, the manhunt, the fatal stop. But this flash drive detail? That's from the post, and I couldn't independently verify it.
BSo you're telling me the headline number might be wrong?
BNo, I'm saying it's unverified. The FBI file is real, but until some outlet goes through it, we should treat that as a claim.
BWhich is a nice way of saying don't run with it. Fine. But let's talk about the bigger thing: why is the FBI posting this now, two years later?
BBecause it's public record? FOIA requests, transparency. That's the whole point of the Vault.
BNo, come on, you know how this looks. They're re-litigating a dead man's case without a trial. He never got his day in court.
BHe skipped his day in court! He fled the state, and that's a choice he made.
BHe's dead, Brian. Posting internal files about a dead man, especially with unverified details floating around, feels like the FBI trying to win the PR war after the fact.
BOr it's just the normal FOIA process! The Vault has thousands of files. This one happens to be interesting because the guy was a political figure.
BBut the timing matters! Right after an election, right when Hogan is being talked about as a possible candidate again, and suddenly this appears?
BHogan's not running for anything right now, and even if he were, this is about McGrath, not Hogan. They're not the same person.
BThey worked together for years! The fraud charges were about his time as chief of staff. You don't think this reflects on Hogan?
BThat's guilt by association, Bella! McGrath's own actions got him indicted, not Hogan. And the file being public doesn't change what happened.
BI'm not saying Hogan is guilty. I'm saying the FBI choosing to post this now, without context, feeds the exact kind of speculation that hurts everyone.
BFine, we disagree on the motive. But the facts are the facts: the file is real, the case was real, and the man is dead. That's worth talking about.
BIt is. And we should talk about the substance: what was in those flash drives? That's the actual question.
BRight. If they're ever verified, that could tell us a lot more.
BFor now, it's just a claim. Moving on.
BAnd now to Israel, where the election math has everyone talking - and one post on X is making it uglier.
BWhat do you mean?
BAl Jazeera English posted about the results. Quote: "'Islamisation of Israel' - Palestinian citizens of Israel could decide the country's future, but the Jewish-led opposition refuses to accept their mandate."
BThat's a loaded headline. "Islamisation"?
BThat's the term Likud is using. Netanyahu's party. Let's break down the numbers: his bloc got about fifty-three seats, the Jewish opposition about forty-eight, and Arab-led parties won a historic nineteen seats.
BSo no one has a majority, and the Arab parties could be kingmakers. That's what they're saying.
BExactly. But the Jewish opposition leaders have said they won't rely on Arab support. And Likud is calling the Arab turnout part of an "Islamisation" plot.
BI think there's a real concern here. Critics say some of these Arab parties don't recognize Israel's right to exist. You can't just hand them the balance of power without asking what that means.
BThat's not the point! The Arab citizens of Israel are twenty percent of the population. They voted. Excluding them from any coalition because of their ethnicity is undemocratic.
BIt's not about ethnicity, it's about ideology. If a party's platform includes dismantling the Jewish state, no Israeli government should rely on them. That's self-preservation, not racism.
BBut many of these parties have moderated. And the alternative is what? Another election? Gridlock while the country faces real threats?
BThe alternative is the Jewish parties, left and right, finding a way to work together. That's what they should have done from the start. Instead, they're both refusing to compromise and blaming the Arabs.
BAnd meanwhile, Likud gets to scream "Islamisation" and scare people into voting for them again. That's the real play here.
BOr maybe the opposition is genuinely uncomfortable with parties that have ties to groups like the Muslim Brotherhood. Is that not allowed anymore?
BIt's allowed to criticize specific policies. It's not allowed to smear an entire population as a threat. The phrase "Islamisation" is straight out of the European far-right playbook.
BI'll give you that the language is inflammatory. But the underlying fear isn't baseless. Israel is a tiny country surrounded by enemies. Every government decision is existential.
BIt's always existential, so nothing can ever change. That's a recipe for permanent minority rule.
BNo, it's a recipe for caution. You don't hand over security decisions to parties that critics say have celebrated attacks on civilians. That's just reality.
BOkay, we're not going to agree on this one. But the fact is, the Arab parties have more seats than ever, and someone eventually has to deal with that.
BI'll grant you that. Ignoring them didn't work, and calling it "Islamisation" only makes it worse. But that doesn't mean the Jewish opposition is wrong to hesitate.
BDifferent world entirely: a post on X claims Tolkien's heirs got nothing from the Lord of the Rings films, and it's got the numbers all wrong.
BWhat's the claim?
BThe post says the three films made nearly six billion dollars, and the heirs received nothing. Truth is, the three Rings films grossed about three billion. Add the Hobbit trilogy and you get close to five nine.
BSo the post inflated the gross, but the core is true? They got zero?
BTolkien sold the film rights in 1969 for a reported hundred thousand pounds to settle a tax bill. The heirs later sued New Line saying they got no share, and that suit settled in 2009.
BA hundred grand for one of the biggest franchises ever? That's a terrible deal, even with inflation.
BHe was 77 and needed money for taxes. Not exactly a savvy negotiation.
BBut the lawsuit settled, so they eventually got something. The post makes it sound like they were completely shut out.
BThe post is misleading on the total and skips the settlement. Classic internet outrage without the follow-up.
BHollywood accounting is a real thing, though. Studios always find a way to say a blockbuster lost money.
BThat's the real story: even with a settlement, the heirs probably got pennies compared to what the films earned. The rest went to the studio's "fees."
BSo the headline is true in spirit: Tolkien's family got a raw deal, just not for the reasons the post says.
BExactly. And on that note, maybe I'll start checking my own royalties.
BYou'll need a better deal than a hundred thousand pounds.

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