CSomeone on X is putting a seventy percent probability on a Tesla–SpaceX merger by 2028.
CSeventy percent. A three trillion dollar deal that brings all the top engineers together under Elon.
MSeventy percent is a very specific number from a random account with no reporting behind it.
MBut the rumor itself won't die, and it actually got a little louder this week.
CRight, Musk has said special committees have been formed to look at it. That part is real.
CAnd the logic is obvious: SpaceX needs enormous capital for Starship, Tesla has a balance sheet.
MThe logic is obvious if you're a SpaceX shareholder. Tesla holders get to fund a Mars colony.
COh, come on. It's not charity—Tesla would get a stake in the most valuable private company on Earth.
MValuable on paper, Chris. SpaceX doesn't report earnings. It raises money whenever it wants at prices it sets.
CThat's how private companies work. But if you can't see the synergy—
MI see the synergy for Elon. I don't see the governance structure that protects a Tesla shareholder.
MShawn on X made this exact point—SpaceX gets the financing advantage, Tesla shareholders get the risk.
CAnd what is the risk, exactly? That Starship starts flying and the Starlink revenue keeps compounding?
MThe risk is you're buying into a rocket company with Tesla's retail shareholders and no public disclosures.
CI'd take that trade. Half of Wall Street would.
MThen let's stop pretending it's a seventy percent certainty. It's a special committee and a lot of chatter.
CFine, the seventy percent is made up. The committee isn't.
MThat I'll grant you. Different corner of the Tesla world now—the Cybertruck is officially not coming to Australia.
CAnd the reason, according to one Bluesky post, is that roofs crumple under drop bears.
MFor our listeners outside Australia: drop bears are a myth. They don't exist.
CThe real reason is simpler: the Cybertruck doesn't meet Australian design rules. Sharp edges, pedestrian safety.
MPeter Murphy on Bluesky got over two hundred likes for the drop bear bit. It's good comedy.
MThat's the boring, factual version. The joke version has marsupials falling from eucalyptus trees.
CI'm honestly not sure which version Musk would prefer to respond to.
MHe'd probably design a drop bear defense package and sell it as an accessory.
CSpeaking of Roadster jokes, one account says the Tesla Roadster runs on compressed air—so it's not a flying car, it's a car that jumps through the power of farts.
MThe Chaucer parody account. That's the kind of niche humor the internet was built for.
CLook, compressed air thrusters are real technology. The joke is the framing, not the physics.
MMeanwhile SwiftOnSecurity, the security account, says someone framed their entire Tesla Model 3 preorder and the note from Elon.
CFrame it? Like hang it on a wall?
MLike museum glass, a wooden frame, the whole thing. That's actual devotion to the brand.
CI've kept some weird receipts in my life. A pre-order confirmation is not wall art.
MIt's wall art if you think the note from Elon is a historical artifact.
CAnd some people genuinely do. Which is a whole different conversation about brand loyalty.
MThe Tesla–SpaceX merger speculation, the Cybertruck snub, and a framed pre-order—Elon's corner of the internet never sleeps.