{"id":"1794634069683-sports-segment","slug":"ufc-main-event-underdogs-cashing-big-prices","title":"UFC Main Event Underdogs Cashing Big Prices","summary":"Cristiano Ronaldo won the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A; scored hat-tricks in all three leagues; won the Champions League with Manchester United and Real Madrid; and is the Champions League's all-time leading scorer.\n\nCristiano Ronaldo's 2021-22 Manchester United season included 18 Premier League goals and 3 assists, 6 Champions League goals, 24 total club goals, and the Sir Matt Busby Player of the Year award.","publishedAt":"2026-11-14T05:27:49.683Z","channel":{"id":"sports","name":"Oncast Sports","language":"en"},"show":"Late Scores","verification":{"status":"verified","leadVerdict":"TRUE","notes":"TRUE: Cristiano Ronaldo won the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A; scored hat-tricks in all three leagues; won the Champions League with Manchester United and Real Madrid; and is the Champions League's all-time leading scorer.\nSource: UEFA / league records NAMES: None. (https://x.com/OracleTv_001/status/2121237225165750693)\n\nTRUE: Cristiano Ronaldo's 2021-22 Manchester United season included 18 Premier League goals and 3 assists, 6 Champions League goals, 24 total club goals, and the Sir Matt Busby Player of the Year award.\nSource: Premier League / Manchester United official stats NAMES: Sir Matt Busby = former Manchester United manager and namesake of the club's player-of-the-year award. (https://x.com/hmar3103/status/2121449448786231474)","claims":[{"verdict":"TRUE","summary":"Cristiano Ronaldo won the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A; scored hat-tricks in all three leagues; won the Champions League with Manchester United and Real Madrid; and is the Champions League's all-time leading scorer.","sourceName":"UEFA / league records NAMES: None.","sourceUrl":"https://x.com/OracleTv_001/status/2121237225165750693","claim":"Messi dominated Spain. @Cristiano dominated England, Spain and Italy. Ronaldo won the Premier League, La Liga and Serie A, scored hat-tricks in all three leagues, won the Champions League with Manchester United and Real Madrid, and became the competition's all-time leading","author":"@OracleTv_001"},{"verdict":"TRUE","summary":"Cristiano Ronaldo's 2021-22 Manchester United season included 18 Premier League goals and 3 assists, 6 Champions League goals, 24 total club goals, and the Sir Matt Busby Player of the Year award.","sourceName":"Premier League / Manchester United official stats NAMES: Sir Matt Busby = former Manchester United manager and namesake of the club's player-of-the-year award.","sourceUrl":"https://x.com/hmar3103/status/2121449448786231474","claim":"Cristiano Ronaldo Manchester United 2021-2022 : Premier League : 18 GOALS/ 3 ASSISTS CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: 6 GOALS . Sir Matt Busby PLAYER OF THE YEAR . Voted Manchester United's Player of the Year after finishing a the Club's TOP SCORER with 24 GOALS across ALL Competitions. https:/","author":"hanniani (@hmar3103)"}]},"sources":[{"url":"https://x.com/OracleTv_001/status/2121237225165750693","name":"UEFA / league records NAMES: None.","kind":"x","verdict":"TRUE","author":"@OracleTv_001"},{"url":"https://x.com/hmar3103/status/2121449448786231474","name":"Premier League / Manchester United official stats NAMES: Sir Matt Busby = former Manchester United manager and namesake of the club's player-of-the-year award.","kind":"x","verdict":"TRUE","author":"hanniani (@hmar3103)"}],"url":"https://oncast.fm/story/1794634069683-sports-segment-ufc-main-event-underdogs-cashing-big-prices","listenUrl":"https://oncast.fm/c/sports","attribution":{"publisher":"Oncast","site":"https://oncast.fm","url":"https://oncast.fm/story/1794634069683-sports-segment-ufc-main-event-underdogs-cashing-big-prices","cite":"Cite https://oncast.fm/story/1794634069683-sports-segment-ufc-main-event-underdogs-cashing-big-prices and the original source links. Fact-check by Oncast (oncast.fm)."},"hostsSaid":[{"host":"Liam","text":"Jed I Goodman posted on X that UFC main-event underdogs have been winning at a strong clip this year, with a handful of pick'ems."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Thirteen and twenty-two? Underdogs lose twice as often as they win."},{"host":"Liam","text":"But the four big prices on that list are the ones that wrecked tickets."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Name one."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Walker plus one eighty-five. Song plus four thirty."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Hold on. I checked the numbers."},{"host":"Liam","text":"And?"},{"host":"Marcus","text":"CBS had underdogs winning ten of the first twenty main events as of late June. Jed's full-year record isn't confirmed."},{"host":"Liam","text":"So the exact record's murky. The point stands: big plus-money dogs in main events are live."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Oh, come on. You remember the upsets because they pay huge. You forget the dogs who got finished in ninety seconds."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's exactly my point—if a plus-four-hundred dog cashes one time, it covers four favorites that lose."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"You can't just dream about the one cash. You have to count the twenty-two losses that came with it."},{"host":"Liam","text":"But if the average dog price is around plus three hundred, you don't need a winning record."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"You need to hit one in four, and not every dog is plus three hundred."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Some are plus one twenty. Some are plus one fifty."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Right. So a lopsided record like that doesn't tell you if those losses were all chalk or all live dogs."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Exactly, and a plus four thirty dog is a ten-dollar bet paying forty-three dollars."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"I don't care about payout. I care about whether the line was wrong before the fight."},{"host":"Liam","text":"You can care about both. That's allowed."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"You keep saying confirmed prices, but the record is unverified. The prices are real, the trend isn't."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's all I need. The prices are real. The trend is a conversation."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"No, the trend is the whole point of the post. If the record is off, the argument collapses."},{"host":"Liam","text":"It doesn't collapse. The plus-money names are still live. That was the point."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Fine, but live and profitable are two different things."},{"host":"Liam","text":"For a fight fan, live is the fun part. The profit is bonus."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Now you sound like a guy who's never added up a losing month."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's a low blow, Marcus."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Okay, I'll give you this: I'd rather watch a live dog than a chalk fight. But I'm not calling it a trend until I see the full card list."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Fair enough. The numbers we can confirm are those big closing prices, and they're wild."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"And the wild part is the names. Walker, Song, Gaethje, Strickland—none of those are easy money for favorites."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's exactly right. A plus three eighty dog like Strickland in a main event is not a normal underdog."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"But was he mispriced, or did he just win? You only find out afterward."},{"host":"Liam","text":"The market can be right before the fight and still lose after. That's why it's called risk."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Now you're getting philosophical."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Different corner of combat sports: a boxing account called Samp and Chance posted on X that two undefeated knockout artists are headlining in Montreal."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Somebody's zero has got to go—their words, not mine."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Jhon \"El Tigre\" Orobio listed at nineteen and oh with seventeen knockouts, against Hendri Cedeño at sixteen and oh with twelve knockouts."},{"host":"Liam","text":"And we can't confirm those records. But if they're even close, that's a fun fight."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Here's my problem: those zeroes are built on soft competition half the time."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's not fair. An undefeated record means you found a way every single time."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"Or it means your promoter found opponents you couldn't lose to."},{"host":"Liam","text":"So every undefeated boxer is a fraud? That's lazy. Some of these guys are real knockout artists."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"I'm not saying fraud. I'm saying the zero gets marketed harder than the quality of the opponents."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Fair point. But if two real hitters meet, the zero is the pressure that makes it fun."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"That's the one thing I can't argue. Somebody's zero has got to go is a heck of a pitch."},{"host":"Liam","text":"And if both records are even close to true, somebody's chin is about to get tested."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"That's the fight I want. Two undefeated records, two heavy hitters, one zero gone."},{"host":"Liam","text":"And zero confirmed records so far. So I'll enjoy the highlight when it actually lands."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"But the marketing works. The undefeated angle gets people talking before anyone throws a punch."},{"host":"Liam","text":"That's the sport. You sell the undefeated record, then you find out if it's real."},{"host":"Marcus","text":"And when it's real, it's a classic. When it's not, it's a highlight-reel mismatch."},{"host":"Liam","text":"Either way, I'll watch."}]}